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本帖最后由 virus 于 2011-6-15 14:12 编辑
5月份,据REINZ统计,平均出售天数奥克兰为36天,基督城为41天,几乎所有的region都显示出售天数上升,除了大坎特伯雷和Southland地区。
The REINZ Housing Price Index fell 1.8% in May compared with April 2011, with the stratified median house price at just under $359,000. The Index recorded increases in Christchurch and Other North Island, but falls in Auckland, Wellington and Other South Island.
Compared to May 2010, the Index fell 0.7% and is now 5.8% below the November 2007 peak.
Across the country in May the total value of residential sales, including sections, rose to $2.46 billion, compared to $2.21 billion in April and $2.27 billion in May 2010.
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BUSINESS BACKS CITY
Christchurch has a strong economic future and its business community is extraordinarily resilient and determined to rebuild the city in the next 10 years, says the Canterbury Employers' Chamber of Commerce.
Chief executive Peter Townsend said between 8000 and 10,000 people have fled Christchurch since the devastating February 22 quake, some permanently, but he believes yesterday's powerful shakes have had more of a psychological than commercial impact on people.
"Economic activity doesn't stop because the rebuild of Christchurch will be delayed (by yesterday's new quakes). What does stop is the heady projections of accelerated economic activity as we rebuild. We know Christchurch is going to be the construction capital of New Zealand for the next 10 years, but the timing of that will be dependent on the aftershocks," Townsend said.
Townsend said there would be considerable economic activity in Christchurch as the city prepares for large-scale demolition work.
But the existing central business district would no longer be the CBD, because businesses had already moved out, he said. It would become "downtown Christchurch".
But the loss of hotel beds and other accommodation was causing a lot of concern, he said.
"(Wider) Canterbury is still up and running but the problem we've got is that Christchurch is the gateway to the South Island. A lot of flights arrive late at night and people need accommodation."
After the February disaster only 13 per cent of the city's hotel beds were available to visitors, Townsend said.
That has improved to about 25 per cent but many of the city's hotels are in the CBD and are locked down or uninhabitable and many of the big hotels would have to be demolished.
"That is a reality we have to work on. We have to optimise tourism again and learn to do things differently.
"We have been genuinely stunned and impressed by the resilience of our business community. We are not seeing a big jump in unemployment or downturn in business activity."
Townsend said he uses two words when discussing Christchurch's future: certainty and hope.
"What happened yesterday is that our certainty was comprised and we had a setback but not an elimination of hope."
He does not anticipate another exodus following yesterday's fresh scares.
"People are doggedly determined to get through this. We know we are going to get more aftershocks and it's not going to be nice, but we love our city and want to stay.
"You're going to get somewhere between 18,000 and 20,000 people required to rebuild this city over the next 10 years. With their families that could be 30,000 people, which is 10 per cent of our inner city population. An enormous amount of money will be put into the economy.
"(And) people are tied to their houses and businesses. You can't just up and leave a house that's damaged and waiting for insurance and you can't sell it. That's where people's wealth is, likewise for their businesses. That is the reality.
"The third reason is we live in a beautiful city. It's broken and on its knees, but until yesterday we were starting on the road to recovery. It's a long haul."
ANZ Bank chief economist Cameron Bagrie is in no doubt about the city's future.
"It is still the mainstay and the lifeblood of the South Island. A lot of people have been predicting sizeable aftershocks for 12 months which is what is unfolding.
"But certainly these events illustrate how much strategic thinking needs to go into it (the rebuild) in terms of what Christchurch is going to look like," Bagrie said.
ANZ economists had not been expecting the rebuild to "crank up" until next year anyway, he said.
"I think we need to differentiate between rebuild and reconstruction. There is a whole lot of reconstruction going on, a whole lot of triage going on.
"There is short-term housing demand and businesses need to be refitted out. This work is going on.'' |
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