ZT: 哇塞，奥克兰房子已经供过于求了，搞不好真的会崩盘

NewLynnHse

QV - Housing market gets spring lift, shrugs off election

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/property/news/article.cfm?c_id=8&objectid=11954348

Uncertainty over the new Government and its housing policies does not appear to have dented the market in November, the latest data from Quotable Value shows.

The latest monthly QV House Price Index shows nationwide residential property values for November year increased 6.4 per cent - compared with just 3.9 per cent in the October year.

Values rose by 3.6 per cent over the past three months compared with the three months to October when the market slowed to 0.9 per cent growth.

In Auckland values remained relatively flat - holding or rising slightly in some areas and dropping in others.

The former Auckland City Council suburbs also saw values rise 1.6 per cent year on year and 0.7 per cent in the past three months.

Auckland City East rose well above average for the region, up 3.3 per cent year on year and 1.8 per cent over the past three months.

Values dropped 1 per cent for North Shore City in the year to November but rose 1 per cent over the past three months.

In Manukau values were down 1.6 per cent year-on-year and 0.9 per cent over the past three months; annual growth was up in Franklin, Papakura and Rodney, although Rodney saw values drop 1.1 per cent over the past three months.

"There's been no significant change to the market dynamic since the change of government," said QV Auckland senior consultant James Steele.

"Values are holding in well-located areas while they have dropped back in some areas further out of the city centre."

An oversupply in some areas of Manukau was continuing to cause a decrease in prices there, "particularly in large new subdivisions which are above the median house price".

But other tightly held areas, particularly in central Auckland, were still doing well and seeing values still rising, he said.

"A lack of pressure on property owners to sell, particularly given low interest rates and solid rental levels, has meant that the large decrease in demand over the past year instigated by LVR restrictions has meant prices have remained relatively flat."

.............

Chatbox

今年最后一个月，怎么着也要跌个几十万吧。

张小毛

回国吧的板凳

bungyjumping999

haha.... supply was / is  not a problem. Human Greed is.

Now, they ( the present government) want to increase even more supply......  that was what happened to Iceland during GFC, all projects were abandoned and first home buyers burnt (bbq) all times.

LVR in fact is working well in the last 2 years, and Moderation policy ( bright line test) by the previous government was working well to cool down housing market.

呼啸寒风

崩了，没救了，末日到来了

auckland.clark

必须崩盘。许多人等了多年了。

gongchen

回国吧，买什么买

1风云再起1

给后花园做个广告啊，第一篇昨天清盘率10%，结论黎明前的黄昏。第二篇各种数据表明明年二月房价暴涨。。

tiannz

那么大的刚需呢？都去哪儿了？

auckland.clark

1风云再起1 发表于 2017-12-7 12:02
给后花园做个广告啊，第一篇昨天清盘率10%，结论黎明前的黄昏。第二篇各种数据表明明年二月房价暴涨。。 ...

这个难说的。至少拍卖出去的，都在新CV以上。

angelee123

这段文字换个角度看，就是说住房危机没有了 不需要再建那些可负担住房了不是么？房价回会落到可负担水平，然后政府上下嘴皮子一动，可负担住房问题解决

1风云再起1

auckland.clark 发表于 2017-12-7 12:08
这个难说的。至少拍卖出去的，都在新CV以上。

你说的对，54万套房子，涨的时候不能全涨，跌的时候也不能都跌

sims

1风云再起1 发表于 2017-12-7 12:02
给后花园做个广告啊，第一篇昨天清盘率10%，结论黎明前的黄昏。第二篇各种数据表明明年二月房价暴涨。。 ...

还有一篇，现在是十年不遇的最佳买房时机，因为没人买房，议价空间大

1风云再起1

sun2kiwi 发表于 2017-12-7 12:08
所以明年1月份大V？

哈哈，国家党是炒房党，工党上台房价涨的比国家党还厉害，房价涨的时候永远不会跌，跌的时候将来绝对会涨，就看你怎么想了

幸运招财小猫猫

怎么住房危机一夜之间就解决啦？？？？！！！！

auckland.clark

1风云再起1 发表于 2017-12-7 12:16
哈哈，国家党是炒房党，工党上台房价涨的比国家党还厉害，房价涨的时候永远不会跌，跌的时候将来绝对会涨 ...

国家党是炒房党这个锅真不能背。工党在1999--2008执政期间的涨幅比国家党的2008--2017涨幅大多了。
  唯一的差距是：增长的绝对值高了。从50万涨100%到100万，从100万涨90%到了190万。现在的情况是，接受了50涨到100的这个100%涨幅，增加的是50万。但是接受不了100涨到190万的90%的涨幅，增加的是90万。90万是比50万多，从货币购买力角度看，也没有什么大的差别。

angelee123

幸运招财小猫猫 发表于 2017-12-7 12:23
怎么住房危机一夜之间就解决啦？？？？！！！！

嘴大吞天下？？？？？？

1风云再起1

auckland.clark 发表于 2017-12-7 12:28
国家党是炒房党这个锅真不能背。工党在1999--2008执政期间的涨幅比国家党的2008--2017涨幅大多了。
  唯 ...

我相信你，投票的时候跳脚选国家党的肯定没有房产中介

幸运招财小猫猫

angelee123 发表于 2017-12-7 12:28
嘴大吞天下？？？？？？

之前那些数据专家都是bullshit啊

hitye

1风云再起1 发表于 2017-12-7 12:30
我相信你，投票的时候跳脚选国家党的肯定没有房产中介

得知国家党要没戏了以后，马上喊工党上台还得涨，哈哈

老老妖刀

哎呀。怎么和中国三四线城市一样。
天天喊短缺短缺。。然后就突然说啥去库存了。

说好的奥克兰是国际化大都市呢？说好的奥克兰要做全球最宜居城市呢。。都是骗人的！

auckland.clark

1风云再起1 发表于 2017-12-7 12:30
我相信你，投票的时候跳脚选国家党的肯定没有房产中介

人家支持什么政党，是人家的自由了。

老老妖刀

hitye 发表于 2017-12-7 12:41
得知国家党要没戏了以后，马上喊工党上台还得涨，哈哈

既然有人列出历史数据要证明工党执政房价涨得更多。。国家党是背黑锅的！
为什么有房的不选工党呀，不科学呀？？

难道不希望自己的房产增值？
看这架势，工党要连任了。连当初投国家党的都说工党执政会提升房价呢！

太极宗师001

工党上台，全国遭殃。

LYYX

崩盘不太可能，但产品（房子）严重不对路。。。

鸢芷清

本妞
买不起奥克兰的房子
飘过

tiannz

多国阵营人才济济，个个都能言善辩，奈何这房价不给力呀

carterdog

auckland.clark 发表于 2017-12-7 12:08
这个难说的。至少拍卖出去的，都在新CV以上。

别乱说，成交价cv以下的大约一半，有的还低cv 2,3十%。

天维房产

angelee123 发表于 2017-12-7 12:28
嘴大吞天下？？？？？？

牙美退房价~